If you've been reading this blog for a while, you will know that I think the United States is in serious trouble. I was not surprised by the January 6th insurrection, and I would not surprised if there was more and more extreme political violence in 2022 and 2024.
If you want an idea of how bad things could get, read The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future by Stephen Marche.
In it, he outlines, in detail, several scenarios that could lead to the collapse or break up of the United States. Along with those scenarios a (a Bundy-style alt-right protest that gets suppressed by the military, a presidential assassination, and more), he provides copious background information to explain how and why each scenario could come to pass.
It makes for some pretty grim reading and Marche isn't much of an optimist. There may be a path forward that doesn't end up in widespread civil unrest or a breakup of the country, but he thinks it's going to be very hard to find. It is also a very well-written book and very hard to put down. I plowed my way through it in five days, and that wasn't entirely due to the fact it was a library loan and had to be returned in seven.
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