This slide deck about scenario planning and the pandemic is one of the best things I've seen in a while. Take the time to read through it (46 slides with lots of text, so it's long); it's worth it.
I'm curious as to which scenario you think is most likely. I think we can already rule out the most optimistic one. The final section, on likely impacts of the pandemic is the key section and the one to read if you don't have a lot of time.
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